Forecasting and simulation of electrical loads in decentralized zones in Russia

Abstract

A technique for simulation of domestic, social and industrial electrical loads in decentralized power supply systems is considered in the paper. To commercialize renewable energy plants as parts of self-contained systems, several engineering problems are to be solved; the most important of them is matching the power generation and operation conditions at stochastic time variations in the power demand and output power of a primary source. Energy consumption is a complex and time-dependent process and could be represented by several regular and irregular components. An approach to solution of the problem of matching the power generation and use conditions is mathematically described, which allows estimation of production volume and schedule of a self-contained power supply system based on the diesel-engine power plants or renewable energy sources. The solution suggested is tested for Yakutia and the Tomsk region as examples.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	2016 2nd International Conference on Industrial Engineering, Applications and Manufacturing, ICIEAM 2016 - Proceedings
Publisher	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
ISBN (Electronic)	9781509013227
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1109/ICIEAM.2016.7911454
Publication status	Published - 2016
Event	2nd International Conference on Industrial Engineering, Applications and Manufacturing, ICIEAM 2016 - Chelyabinsk, Russian Federation Duration: 19 May 2016 → 20 May 2016

Conference

Conference	2nd International Conference on Industrial Engineering, Applications and Manufacturing, ICIEAM 2016
Country	Russian Federation
City	Chelyabinsk
Period	19.5.16 → 20.5.16

Keywords

electrical load
forecasting
probability theory
simulation

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Modelling and Simulation
Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering
Control and Optimization

Access to Document

10.1109/ICIEAM.2016.7911454

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Cite this

Obukhov, S. G., Sarsikeyev, Y. Z., & Sholokhova, I. I. (2016). Forecasting and simulation of electrical loads in decentralized zones in Russia. In 2016 2nd International Conference on Industrial Engineering, Applications and Manufacturing, ICIEAM 2016 - Proceedings [7911454] Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICIEAM.2016.7911454

Forecasting and simulation of electrical loads in decentralized zones in Russia. / Obukhov, S. G.; Sarsikeyev, Ye Zh; Sholokhova, I. I.

2016 2nd International Conference on Industrial Engineering, Applications and Manufacturing, ICIEAM 2016 - Proceedings. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2016. 7911454.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution

Obukhov, SG, Sarsikeyev, YZ & Sholokhova, II 2016, Forecasting and simulation of electrical loads in decentralized zones in Russia. in 2016 2nd International Conference on Industrial Engineering, Applications and Manufacturing, ICIEAM 2016 - Proceedings., 7911454, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2nd International Conference on Industrial Engineering, Applications and Manufacturing, ICIEAM 2016, Chelyabinsk, Russian Federation, 19.5.16. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICIEAM.2016.7911454

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